Prediction summary
Correct score0-0
Correct score odds7.50
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultDraw 3.00↗BTTSNo 1.80↗O/UUnder 2.5 1.60↗FT goals0 goals View odds↗Winning marginDraw View odds↗
UEFA Europa League Qualification · Thursday, 23 July 2026
Dynamo Kiev v PAOK Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score0-010.5%
Expected goals1.10 – 1.27Dynamo Kiev / PAOK
Most likely scorelines
#11-114.1%
#20-110.8%
#30-010.5%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 14.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate10.5%
Model fair odds9.56
Recorded CS odds7.50
Bookmaker implied13.3%
Model-market gap-2.9 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-21.6%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects Dynamo Kiev versus PAOK to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 0-0
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy