UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification · Thursday, 23 July 2026

Zhytomyr v Copenhagen Correct Score Prediction

Zhytomyr

1-2

Copenhagen

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-2

Correct score odds8.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultCopenhagen win 1.85BTTSYes 1.73O/UOver 2.5 1.85FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginCopenhagen by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-29.6%

Expected goals1.05 – 1.63Zhytomyr / Copenhagen

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.3%

#20-19.7%

#31-29.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	9.7%	9.2%	5.0%	2.0%
1	5.7%	13.3%	9.6%	5.2%	2.1%
2	3.8%	6.1%	5.0%	2.7%	1.1%
3	1.3%	2.1%	1.7%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.6%

Model fair odds10.46

Recorded CS odds8.00

Bookmaker implied12.5%

Model-market gap-2.9 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-23.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published22 Jul 2026 · 19:01 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home4.00View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away1.85View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.85View odds

Under 2.51.85View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Zhytomyr versus Copenhagen to finish 1-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy