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Austrian Cup · Friday, 24 July 2026

Deutschlandsberger v Amstetten Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score2-42.3%
Expected goals1.06 – 2.30Deutschlandsberger / Amstetten

Most likely scorelines

#11-110.0%
#21-29.7%
#30-29.2%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
05.1%6.5%9.2%7.1%4.1%
12.1%10.0%9.7%7.5%4.3%
22.0%4.5%5.1%3.9%2.3%
30.7%1.6%1.8%1.4%0.8%
40.2%0.4%0.5%0.4%0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate2.3%
Model fair odds44.27
Recorded CS odds26.00
Bookmaker implied3.8%
Model-market gap-1.6 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-41.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published23 Jul 2026 · 18:26 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-4

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.53View odds
Both teams to score — No2.30View odds
Over 2.51.40View odds
Under 2.52.70View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Deutschlandsberger versus Amstetten to finish 2-4. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-4
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy