Club Friendlies · Friday, 24 July 2026

Galatasaray v Monza Correct Score Prediction

Galatasaray

3-1

Monza

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score3-1

Correct score odds10.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultGalatasaray win 1.44BTTSYes 1.57O/UOver 2.5 1.40FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginGalatasaray by 2 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score3-17.2%

Expected goals2.21 – 1.11Galatasaray / Monza

Most likely scorelines

#12-19.8%

#21-19.2%

#32-08.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	3.7%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
1	7.7%	9.2%	4.9%	1.8%	0.5%
2	8.8%	9.8%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.5%	7.2%	4.0%	1.5%	0.4%
4	3.6%	4.0%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate7.2%

Model fair odds13.87

Recorded CS odds10.00

Bookmaker implied10.0%

Model-market gap-2.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-27.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published23 Jul 2026 · 18:26 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.44View odds

Draw4.33View odds

Away5.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.57View odds

Both teams to score — No2.25View odds

Over 2.51.40View odds

Under 2.52.62View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Galatasaray versus Monza to finish 3-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 3-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy