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Austrian Cup · Friday, 24 July 2026

Lauterach v Wolfsberger AC Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score1-53.9%
Expected goals0.54 – 3.33Lauterach / Wolfsberger AC

Most likely scorelines

#10-312.8%
#20-211.5%
#30-410.7%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
01.8%7.1%11.5%12.8%10.7%
11.3%3.5%6.3%7.0%5.8%
20.3%1.0%1.7%1.9%1.6%
30.1%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.3%
40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate3.9%
Model fair odds25.88
Recorded CS odds19.00
Bookmaker implied5.3%
Model-market gap-1.4 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-26.6%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published23 Jul 2026 · 18:26 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-5

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home56.00View odds
Draw10.00View odds
Both teams to score — Yes3.10View odds
Both teams to score — No1.30View odds
Over 2.51.17View odds
Under 2.54.60View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Lauterach versus Wolfsberger AC to finish 1-5. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-5
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy