Polish 1 Liga · Friday, 24 July 2026

Odra Opole v Arka Gdynia Correct Score Prediction

Odra Opole

1-2

Arka Gdynia

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-2

Correct score odds8.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultArka Gdynia win 2.15BTTSYes 1.73O/UOver 2.5 1.85FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginArka Gdynia by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-28.9%

Expected goals1.19 – 1.44Odra Opole / Arka Gdynia

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.8%

#21-28.9%

#30-18.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	8.9%	7.5%	3.6%	1.3%
1	7.1%	13.8%	8.9%	4.3%	1.5%
2	5.1%	7.4%	5.3%	2.5%	0.9%
3	2.0%	2.9%	2.1%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate8.9%

Model fair odds11.24

Recorded CS odds8.00

Bookmaker implied12.5%

Model-market gap-3.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-28.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published23 Jul 2026 · 18:26 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home3.00View odds

Draw3.10View odds

Away2.15View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.85View odds

Under 2.51.85View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Odra Opole versus Arka Gdynia to finish 1-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy