Romanian Liga 1 · Friday, 24 July 2026

UTA Arad v Otelul Galati Correct Score Prediction

UTA Arad

2-0

Otelul Galati

Kick-off: 15:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-0

Correct score odds9.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultUTA Arad win 2.10BTTSNo 1.91O/UUnder 2.5 1.70FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginUTA Arad by 2 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-08.4%

Expected goals1.42 – 1.07UTA Arad / Otelul Galati

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.5%

#20-010.2%

#31-09.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.2%	6.9%	4.7%	1.7%	0.4%
1	9.9%	14.5%	6.7%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.4%	9.0%	4.8%	1.7%	0.5%
3	4.0%	4.3%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.4%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate8.4%

Model fair odds11.89

Recorded CS odds9.50

Bookmaker implied10.5%

Model-market gap-2.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-20.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published23 Jul 2026 · 18:26 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.10View odds

Draw3.00View odds

Away3.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.80View odds

Both teams to score — No1.91View odds

Over 2.52.05View odds

Under 2.51.70View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects UTA Arad versus Otelul Galati to finish 2-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy