Finnish Kakkonen · Saturday, 25 July 2026

Atlantis v HPS Helsinki Correct Score Prediction

Atlantis

2-1

HPS Helsinki

Kick-off: 13:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds10.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultAtlantis win 1.67BTTSYes 1.22O/UOver 2.5 1.17FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginAtlantis by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-18.0%

Expected goals2.46 – 1.70Atlantis / HPS Helsinki

Most likely scorelines

#12-18.0%

#21-17.8%

#32-26.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.8%	1.4%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%
1	2.6%	7.8%	5.6%	3.1%	1.3%
2	4.7%	8.0%	6.8%	3.9%	1.6%
3	3.9%	6.6%	5.6%	3.2%	1.4%
4	2.4%	4.0%	3.4%	2.0%	0.8%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate8.0%

Model fair odds12.46

Recorded CS odds10.00

Bookmaker implied10.0%

Model-market gap-2.0 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-19.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published24 Jul 2026 · 19:17 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.67View odds

Draw4.00View odds

Away3.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.22View odds

Both teams to score — No3.70View odds

Over 2.51.17View odds

Under 2.54.40View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Atlantis versus HPS Helsinki to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy