Prediction summary
Correct score2-0
Correct score odds6.50
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultCoquimbo win 1.36↗BTTSNo 1.85↗O/UUnder 2.5 2.10↗FT goals2 goals View odds↗Winning marginCoquimbo by 2 goals View odds↗
Chilean Primera Division · Saturday, 25 July 2026
Coquimbo v Universidad De Concepcion Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score2-011.9%
Expected goals2.10 – 0.82Coquimbo / Universidad De Concepcion
Most likely scorelines
#12-011.9%
#21-010.5%
#31-110.2%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.5% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 11.9% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate11.9%
Model fair odds8.37
Recorded CS odds6.50
Bookmaker implied15.4%
Model-market gap-3.4 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-22.4%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects Coquimbo versus Universidad De Concepcion to finish 2-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 2-0
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy