Romanian Liga 1 · Sunday, 26 July 2026

AFK Csikszereda v FCSB Correct Score Prediction

AFK Csikszereda

1-1

FCSB

Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.50BTTSYes 1.75O/UUnder 2.5 1.91FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.5%

Expected goals1.06 – 1.66AFK Csikszereda / FCSB

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.5%

#20-110.1%

#31-29.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	10.1%	9.1%	5.0%	2.1%
1	6.2%	12.5%	9.6%	5.3%	2.2%
2	3.7%	6.2%	5.1%	2.8%	1.2%
3	1.3%	2.2%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.5%

Model fair odds8.03

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.9 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-19.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Jul 2026 · 19:24 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home3.90View odds

Draw3.50View odds

Away1.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.83View odds

Under 2.51.91View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects AFK Csikszereda versus FCSB to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy