Canadian Premier League · Sunday, 26 July 2026

Atletico Ottawa v Pacific FC Correct Score Prediction

Atletico Ottawa

2-1

Pacific FC

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultAtletico Ottawa win 1.65BTTSYes 1.57O/UOver 2.5 1.53FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginAtletico Ottawa by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.9%

Expected goals1.93 – 1.14Atletico Ottawa / Pacific FC

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.6%

#22-19.9%

#32-08.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.1%	3.9%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
1	7.6%	11.6%	5.8%	2.2%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.9%	5.6%	2.1%	0.6%
3	5.6%	6.3%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
4	2.7%	3.1%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.9%

Model fair odds10.14

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap-3.5 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-26.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Jul 2026 · 19:24 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.65View odds

Draw3.50View odds

Away4.20View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.57View odds

Both teams to score — No2.20View odds

Over 2.51.53View odds

Under 2.52.30View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Atletico Ottawa versus Pacific FC to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy