Brazilian Serie A · Sunday, 26 July 2026

Bragantino v Coritiba Correct Score Prediction

Bragantino

1-1

Coritiba

Kick-off: 21:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.50BTTSYes 1.85O/UUnder 2.5 1.85FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.5%

Expected goals1.71 – 0.92Bragantino / Coritiba

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.5%

#21-011.2%

#32-010.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	5.5%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.2%	12.5%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.5%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.0%	5.5%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.5%

Model fair odds8.03

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.9 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-19.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Jul 2026 · 19:24 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.67View odds

Draw3.50View odds

Away4.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.85View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.51.85View odds

Under 2.51.85View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Bragantino versus Coritiba to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy