Czech First League · Sunday, 26 July 2026

Hradec Kralove v Pardubice Correct Score Prediction

Hradec Kralove

1-1

Pardubice

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.10BTTSYes 1.75O/UUnder 2.5 1.80FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.1%

Expected goals1.43 – 1.17Hradec Kralove / Pardubice

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.1%

#20-09.1%

#31-09.0%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	7.1%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.0%	14.1%	7.3%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.6%	8.9%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.2%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.1%

Model fair odds7.08

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-15.3%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Jul 2026 · 19:24 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.20View odds

Draw3.10View odds

Away3.10View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.75View odds

Both teams to score — No2.00View odds

Over 2.51.95View odds

Under 2.51.80View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Hradec Kralove versus Pardubice to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy