Prediction summary
Correct score3-0
Correct score odds9.50
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultOLS Oulu win 1.20↗BTTSNo 2.30↗O/UOver 2.5 1.20↗FT goals3 goals View odds↗Winning marginOLS Oulu by 3 goals View odds↗
Finnish Ykkonen · Sunday, 26 July 2026
OLS Oulu v KPV Kokkola Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score3-08.1%
Expected goals2.95 – 1.02OLS Oulu / KPV Kokkola
Most likely scorelines
#12-18.4%
#23-18.2%
#32-08.2%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate8.1%
Model fair odds12.39
Recorded CS odds9.50
Bookmaker implied10.5%
Model-market gap-2.5 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-23.3%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-0
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects OLS Oulu versus KPV Kokkola to finish 3-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 3-0
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy