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Czech First League · Sunday, 26 July 2026

Slavia Prague v Slovacko Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score2-013.5%
Expected goals2.66 – 0.61Slavia Prague / Slovacko

Most likely scorelines

#12-013.5%
#23-011.9%
#31-010.1%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
03.9%2.3%0.7%0.1%0.0%
110.1%6.2%1.9%0.4%0.1%
213.5%8.2%2.5%0.5%0.1%
311.9%7.3%2.2%0.4%0.1%
48.0%4.8%1.5%0.3%0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate13.5%
Model fair odds7.43
Recorded CS odds6.00
Bookmaker implied16.7%
Model-market gap-3.2 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-19.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Jul 2026 · 19:24 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Away15.00View odds
Both teams to score — Yes2.20View odds
Both teams to score — No1.62View odds
Over 2.51.44View odds
Under 2.52.50View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Slavia Prague versus Slovacko to finish 2-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-0
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy