Chinese Super League · Sunday, 26 July 2026

Yunnan Yukun v Sichuan Jiuniu Correct Score Prediction

Yunnan Yukun

2-1

Sichuan Jiuniu

Kick-off: 11:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds8.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultYunnan Yukun win 1.75BTTSYes 1.36O/UOver 2.5 1.36FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginYunnan Yukun by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.3%

Expected goals2.09 – 1.42Yunnan Yukun / Sichuan Jiuniu

Most likely scorelines

#11-110.3%

#22-19.3%

#32-26.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	2.8%	3.0%	1.4%	0.5%
1	4.8%	10.3%	6.3%	3.0%	1.1%
2	6.5%	9.3%	6.6%	3.1%	1.1%
3	4.5%	6.4%	4.6%	2.2%	0.8%
4	2.4%	3.4%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.3%

Model fair odds10.79

Recorded CS odds8.50

Bookmaker implied11.8%

Model-market gap-2.5 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-21.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published25 Jul 2026 · 19:24 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.75View odds

Draw3.80View odds

Away3.75View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.36View odds

Both teams to score — No2.90View odds

Over 2.51.36View odds

Under 2.52.90View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Yunnan Yukun versus Sichuan Jiuniu to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy