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Czech First League · Monday, 27 July 2026

Artis Brno v Mlada Boleslav Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score2-16.6%
Expected goals1.12 – 1.60Artis Brno / Mlada Boleslav

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.9%
#20-19.5%
#31-29.4%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
07.7%9.5%8.4%4.5%1.8%
16.3%12.9%9.4%5.0%2.0%
24.2%6.6%5.3%2.8%1.1%
31.6%2.5%2.0%1.1%0.4%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.3%0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate6.6%
Model fair odds15.08
Recorded CS odds12.00
Bookmaker implied8.3%
Model-market gap-1.7 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-20.4%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Jul 2026 · 16:14 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.67View odds
Both teams to score — No2.10View odds
Over 2.51.83View odds
Under 2.51.91View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Artis Brno versus Mlada Boleslav to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy