ASEAN Football Championship · Monday, 27 July 2026

Indonesia v Cambodia Correct Score Prediction

Indonesia

2-1

Cambodia

Kick-off: 13:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds9.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultIndonesia win 1.10BTTSYes 2.00O/UOver 2.5 1.30FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginIndonesia by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-17.6%

Expected goals3.02 – 0.66Indonesia / Cambodia

Most likely scorelines

#13-011.6%

#22-011.5%

#34-08.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.8%	1.4%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	7.3%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
2	11.5%	7.6%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
3	11.6%	7.7%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
4	8.7%	5.8%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate7.6%

Model fair odds13.14

Recorded CS odds9.00

Bookmaker implied11.1%

Model-market gap-3.5 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-31.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Jul 2026 · 16:14 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.10View odds

Draw8.00View odds

Away17.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.00View odds

Both teams to score — No1.70View odds

Over 2.51.30View odds

Under 2.53.20View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Indonesia versus Cambodia to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy