Polish 1 Liga · Monday, 27 July 2026

Miedz Legnica v Podbeskidzie Correct Score Prediction

Miedz Legnica

2-1

Podbeskidzie

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds8.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultMiedz Legnica win 2.00BTTSYes 1.57O/UOver 2.5 1.65FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginMiedz Legnica by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.3%

Expected goals1.64 – 1.29Miedz Legnica / Podbeskidzie

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.9%

#22-19.3%

#31-08.2%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.0%	6.3%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
1	8.2%	11.9%	7.3%	3.1%	1.0%
2	7.2%	9.3%	6.0%	2.6%	0.8%
3	3.9%	5.1%	3.3%	1.4%	0.5%
4	1.6%	2.1%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.3%

Model fair odds10.80

Recorded CS odds8.00

Bookmaker implied12.5%

Model-market gap-3.2 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-25.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Jul 2026 · 16:14 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.00View odds

Draw3.50View odds

Away3.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.57View odds

Both teams to score — No2.25View odds

Over 2.51.65View odds

Under 2.52.10View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Miedz Legnica versus Podbeskidzie to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy