Norwegian Eliteserien · Monday, 27 July 2026

Rosenborg v Fredrikstad Correct Score Prediction

Rosenborg

2-0

Fredrikstad

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-0

Correct score odds8.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultRosenborg win 1.67BTTSNo 2.05O/UUnder 2.5 2.00FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginRosenborg by 2 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-09.8%

Expected goals1.80 – 1.01Rosenborg / Fredrikstad

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.8%

#21-010.0%

#32-19.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	5.2%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
1	10.0%	11.8%	5.5%	1.8%	0.5%
2	9.8%	9.9%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
3	5.9%	5.9%	3.0%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.7%	2.7%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.8%

Model fair odds10.22

Recorded CS odds8.50

Bookmaker implied11.8%

Model-market gap-2.0 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-16.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Jul 2026 · 16:14 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.67View odds

Draw3.70View odds

Away4.60View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.73View odds

Both teams to score — No2.05View odds

Over 2.51.75View odds

Under 2.52.00View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Rosenborg versus Fredrikstad to finish 2-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy