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ASEAN Football Championship · Monday, 27 July 2026

Singapore v East Timor Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score3-011.6%
Expected goals3.34 – 0.64Singapore / East Timor

Most likely scorelines

#13-011.6%
#22-010.4%
#34-09.7%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
01.9%1.2%0.4%0.1%0.0%
16.2%4.0%1.3%0.3%0.0%
210.4%6.7%2.1%0.5%0.1%
311.6%7.4%2.4%0.5%0.1%
49.7%6.2%2.0%0.4%0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate11.6%
Model fair odds8.62
Recorded CS odds6.00
Bookmaker implied16.7%
Model-market gap-5.1 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-30.4%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Jul 2026 · 16:14 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Draw10.00View odds
Away21.00View odds
Both teams to score — Yes2.05View odds
Both teams to score — No1.65View odds
Over 2.51.20View odds
Under 2.53.90View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Singapore versus East Timor to finish 3-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 3-0
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy