Polish Ekstraklasa · Monday, 27 July 2026

Zaglebie Lubin v Piast Gliwice Correct Score Prediction

Zaglebie Lubin

2-1

Piast Gliwice

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds10.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultZaglebie Lubin win 2.80BTTSYes 1.85O/UOver 2.5 2.15FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginZaglebie Lubin by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-17.6%

Expected goals1.16 – 1.23Zaglebie Lubin / Piast Gliwice

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.5%

#20-010.6%

#30-19.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	9.8%	6.9%	2.8%	0.9%
1	9.1%	14.5%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%
2	6.2%	7.6%	4.7%	1.9%	0.6%
3	2.4%	3.0%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate7.6%

Model fair odds13.16

Recorded CS odds10.00

Bookmaker implied10.0%

Model-market gap-2.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-24.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published26 Jul 2026 · 16:14 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.80View odds

Draw3.00View odds

Away2.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.85View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.52.15View odds

Under 2.51.62View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Zaglebie Lubin versus Piast Gliwice to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy