UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification · Tuesday, 28 July 2026

CSKA 1948 v Spartak Trnava Correct Score Prediction

CSKA 1948

1-0

Spartak Trnava

Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-0

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultCSKA 1948 win 1.95BTTSNo 1.91O/UUnder 2.5 1.75FT goals1 goal View oddsWinning marginCSKA 1948 by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-010.8%

Expected goals1.51 – 1.03CSKA 1948 / Spartak Trnava

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.3%

#21-010.8%

#32-19.3%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	7.0%	4.2%	1.4%	0.4%
1	10.8%	13.3%	6.3%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.0%	9.3%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.5%	4.7%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate10.8%

Model fair odds9.24

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-4.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-29.7%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published27 Jul 2026 · 19:08 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.95View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.70View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.80View odds

Both teams to score — No1.91View odds

Over 2.52.00View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects CSKA 1948 versus Spartak Trnava to finish 1-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy