Swedish Superettan · Tuesday, 28 July 2026

Landskrona v Norrkoping Correct Score Prediction

Landskrona

1-1

Norrkoping

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.40BTTSYes 1.57O/UUnder 2.5 2.05FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.6%

Expected goals1.28 – 1.60Landskrona / Norrkoping

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.6%

#21-29.2%

#30-17.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	7.9%	7.2%	3.8%	1.5%
1	6.1%	12.6%	9.2%	4.9%	2.0%
2	4.6%	7.4%	5.9%	3.2%	1.3%
3	2.0%	3.2%	2.5%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.6%

Model fair odds7.97

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-2.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-18.4%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published27 Jul 2026 · 19:08 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home3.00View odds

Draw3.40View odds

Away2.05View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.57View odds

Both teams to score — No2.25View odds

Over 2.51.67View odds

Under 2.52.05View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Landskrona versus Norrkoping to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy