Prediction summary
Correct score3-0
Correct score odds6.00
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultMalaysia win 1.05↗BTTSNo 1.44↗O/UOver 2.5 1.22↗FT goals3 goals View odds↗Winning marginMalaysia by 3 goals View odds↗
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score3-012.9%
Expected goals3.30 – 0.54Malaysia / Laos
Most likely scorelines
#13-012.9%
#22-011.7%
#34-010.7%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 11.7% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 12.9% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 10.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate12.9%
Model fair odds7.74
Recorded CS odds6.00
Bookmaker implied16.7%
Model-market gap-3.7 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-22.5%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-0
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects Malaysia versus Laos to finish 3-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 3-0
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy