Icelandic 1. Deild · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Grindavik v Leiknir Reykjavik Correct Score Prediction

Grindavik

1-1

Leiknir Reykjavik

Kick-off: 19:15 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds7.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.40BTTSYes 1.44O/UUnder 2.5 2.45FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-112.0%

Expected goals1.76 – 1.44Grindavik / Leiknir Reykjavik

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.0%

#22-19.1%

#31-27.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	4.2%	4.2%	2.0%	0.7%
1	5.5%	12.0%	7.5%	3.6%	1.3%
2	6.3%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	1.1%
3	3.7%	5.3%	3.8%	1.8%	0.7%
4	1.6%	2.3%	1.7%	0.8%	0.3%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate12.0%

Model fair odds8.32

Recorded CS odds7.00

Bookmaker implied14.3%

Model-market gap-2.3 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-15.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published28 Jul 2026 · 18:36 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.05View odds

Draw3.40View odds

Away3.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.44View odds

Both teams to score — No2.62View odds

Over 2.51.50View odds

Under 2.52.45View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Grindavik versus Leiknir Reykjavik to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy