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UEFA Champions League Qualification · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Kairat v Omonia Nicosia Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score0-09.9%
Expected goals1.34 – 1.08Kairat / Omonia Nicosia

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.8%
#21-011.0%
#30-09.9%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
09.9%8.7%5.2%1.9%0.5%
111.0%13.8%6.9%2.5%0.7%
28.0%8.6%4.6%1.7%0.4%
33.6%3.8%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.2%0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate9.9%
Model fair odds10.10
Recorded CS odds8.00
Bookmaker implied12.5%
Model-market gap-2.6 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-20.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published28 Jul 2026 · 18:36 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 0-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.85View odds
Both teams to score — No1.85View odds
Over 2.52.15View odds
Under 2.51.65View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Kairat versus Omonia Nicosia to finish 0-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 0-0
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy