Czech Rep Pohar CMFS · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Stara Rise v Havlickuv Brod Correct Score Prediction

Stara Rise

2-2

Havlickuv Brod

Kick-off: 16:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-2

Correct score odds10.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.70BTTSYes 1.40O/UOver 2.5 1.40FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-26.6%

Expected goals1.41 – 1.95Stara Rise / Havlickuv Brod

Most likely scorelines

#11-110.5%

#21-29.3%

#32-16.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.4%	5.9%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
1	4.0%	10.5%	9.3%	6.1%	3.0%
2	3.4%	6.7%	6.6%	4.3%	2.1%
3	1.6%	3.1%	3.1%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate6.6%

Model fair odds15.27

Recorded CS odds10.00

Bookmaker implied10.0%

Model-market gap-3.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-34.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published28 Jul 2026 · 18:36 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home3.30View odds

Draw3.70View odds

Away1.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.40View odds

Both teams to score — No2.60View odds

Over 2.51.40View odds

Under 2.52.62View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Stara Rise versus Havlickuv Brod to finish 2-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy