UEFA Champions League Qualification · Wednesday, 29 July 2026

Universitatea Craiova v Levski Sofia Correct Score Prediction

Universitatea Craiova

1-1

Levski Sofia

Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.20BTTSYes 1.80O/UUnder 2.5 1.75FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.5%

Expected goals1.54 – 1.00Universitatea Craiova / Levski Sofia

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.5%

#21-010.8%

#32-09.4%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.4%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.8%	13.5%	6.0%	2.0%	0.5%
2	9.4%	9.4%	4.7%	1.6%	0.4%
3	4.8%	4.8%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.5%

Model fair odds7.39

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-3.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-18.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published28 Jul 2026 · 18:36 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.85View odds

Draw3.20View odds

Away3.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.80View odds

Both teams to score — No1.91View odds

Over 2.52.00View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Universitatea Craiova versus Levski Sofia to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy