UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification · Thursday, 30 July 2026

Nordsjaelland v GAIS Correct Score Prediction

Nordsjaelland

1-1

GAIS

Kick-off: 17:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 4.00BTTSYes 1.85O/UUnder 2.5 2.00FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-110.6%

Expected goals1.97 – 0.85Nordsjaelland / GAIS

Most likely scorelines

#12-011.5%

#21-011.1%

#31-110.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.5%	4.5%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
1	11.1%	10.6%	4.3%	1.2%	0.3%
2	11.5%	9.8%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	7.6%	6.5%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.7%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate10.6%

Model fair odds9.44

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap-2.7 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-20.6%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published29 Jul 2026 · 19:05 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.44View odds

Draw4.00View odds

Away6.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.85View odds

Both teams to score — No1.85View odds

Over 2.51.73View odds

Under 2.52.00View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Nordsjaelland versus GAIS to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy