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Austrian 2. Liga · Friday, 31 July 2026

Admira Modling v Rapid Vienna II Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score1-112.3%
Expected goals1.48 – 1.36Admira Modling / Rapid Vienna II

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.3%
#22-18.7%
#31-08.1%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
06.4%7.4%5.4%2.4%0.8%
18.1%12.3%8.0%3.6%1.2%
26.4%8.7%5.9%2.7%0.9%
33.2%4.3%2.9%1.3%0.5%
41.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate12.3%
Model fair odds8.14
Recorded CS odds6.50
Bookmaker implied15.4%
Model-market gap-3.1 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-20.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published30 Jul 2026 · 18:38 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.62View odds
Both teams to score — No2.15View odds
Over 2.51.67View odds
Under 2.52.05View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Admira Modling versus Rapid Vienna II to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy