Argentinian Primera B Metropolitana · Friday, 31 July 2026

Arsenal Sarandi v Brown de Adrogue Correct Score Prediction

Arsenal Sarandi

2-0

Brown de Adrogue

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-0

Correct score odds6.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultArsenal Sarandi win 1.67BTTSNo 1.62O/UUnder 2.5 1.57FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginArsenal Sarandi by 2 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-011.6%

Expected goals1.53 – 0.78Arsenal Sarandi / Brown de Adrogue

Most likely scorelines

#11-014.1%

#21-113.0%

#32-011.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.1%	6.6%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
1	14.1%	13.0%	4.6%	1.2%	0.2%
2	11.6%	9.1%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%
3	5.9%	4.6%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	2.3%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate11.6%

Model fair odds8.62

Recorded CS odds6.50

Bookmaker implied15.4%

Model-market gap-3.8 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-24.6%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published30 Jul 2026 · 18:38 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.67View odds

Draw3.20View odds

Away5.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.20View odds

Both teams to score — No1.62View odds

Over 2.52.30View odds

Under 2.51.57View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Arsenal Sarandi versus Brown de Adrogue to finish 2-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy