Norwegian Eliteserien · Friday, 31 July 2026

Bodo/Glimt v Lillestrom Correct Score Prediction

Bodo/Glimt

3-0

Lillestrom

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score3-0

Correct score odds9.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultBodo/Glimt win 1.22BTTSNo 2.25O/UOver 2.5 1.30FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginBodo/Glimt by 3 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score3-08.5%

Expected goals2.78 – 0.96Bodo/Glimt / Lillestrom

Most likely scorelines

#12-09.2%

#22-18.8%

#33-08.5%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.4%	2.2%	1.1%	0.4%	0.1%
1	6.5%	6.4%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
2	9.2%	8.8%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%
3	8.5%	8.2%	3.9%	1.3%	0.3%
4	5.9%	5.7%	2.7%	0.9%	0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate8.5%

Model fair odds11.76

Recorded CS odds9.00

Bookmaker implied11.1%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-23.4%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published30 Jul 2026 · 18:38 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.22View odds

Draw6.00View odds

Away9.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.60View odds

Both teams to score — No2.25View odds

Over 2.51.30View odds

Under 2.53.25View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Bodo/Glimt versus Lillestrom to finish 3-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 3-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy