Ireland Premier Division · Friday, 31 July 2026

Drogheda v Shamrock Rovers Correct Score Prediction

Drogheda

2-2

Shamrock Rovers

Kick-off: 19:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-2

Correct score odds15.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.25BTTSYes 1.83O/UOver 2.5 1.95FT goals4 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-24.6%

Expected goals0.97 – 1.59Drogheda / Shamrock Rovers

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.7%

#20-110.4%

#30-29.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	10.4%	9.8%	5.2%	2.1%
1	5.7%	13.7%	9.5%	5.0%	2.0%
2	3.6%	5.8%	4.6%	2.5%	1.0%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate4.6%

Model fair odds21.68

Recorded CS odds15.00

Bookmaker implied6.7%

Model-market gap-2.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-30.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published30 Jul 2026 · 18:38 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-2

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home4.33View odds

Draw3.25View odds

Away1.83View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.83View odds

Both teams to score — No1.91View odds

Over 2.51.95View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Drogheda versus Shamrock Rovers to finish 2-2. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-2

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy