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William Hill Scottish Premiership · Friday, 31 July 2026

Dundee Utd v Rangers Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score1-37.0%
Expected goals1.10 – 2.13Dundee Utd / Rangers

Most likely scorelines

#11-19.9%
#21-29.9%
#30-29.0%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
04.6%7.8%9.0%6.4%3.4%
13.7%9.9%9.9%7.0%3.7%
22.4%5.1%5.4%3.9%2.1%
30.9%1.9%2.0%1.4%0.8%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate7.0%
Model fair odds14.28
Recorded CS odds11.00
Bookmaker implied9.1%
Model-market gap-2.1 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-23.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published30 Jul 2026 · 18:38 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-3

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.60View odds
Both teams to score — No2.25View odds
Over 2.51.44View odds
Under 2.52.50View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Dundee Utd versus Rangers to finish 1-3. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-3
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy