William Hill Scottish League Two · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Edinburgh City v Elgin Correct Score Prediction

Edinburgh City

3-0

Elgin

Kick-off: 14:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score3-0

Correct score odds15.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultEdinburgh City win 1.91BTTSNo 2.15O/UOver 2.5 1.73FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginEdinburgh City by 3 goals View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score3-04.5%

Expected goals1.66 – 1.16Edinburgh City / Elgin

Most likely scorelines

#11-112.4%

#22-19.5%

#31-08.9%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	6.0%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.9%	12.4%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.2%	9.5%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.3%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate4.5%

Model fair odds22.04

Recorded CS odds15.00

Bookmaker implied6.7%

Model-market gap-2.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-31.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published31 Jul 2026 · 18:39 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 3-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.91View odds

Draw3.50View odds

Away3.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.65View odds

Both teams to score — No2.15View odds

Over 2.51.73View odds

Under 2.52.00View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Edinburgh City versus Elgin to finish 3-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 3-0

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy