African Women's Cup Of Nations · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Nigeria Women v Zambia Women Correct Score Prediction

Nigeria Women

2-1

Zambia Women

Kick-off: 20:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultNigeria Women win 1.91BTTSYes 1.65O/UOver 2.5 1.75FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginNigeria Women by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.5%

Expected goals1.63 – 1.16Nigeria Women / Zambia Women

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.1%

#22-19.5%

#31-08.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	5.7%	4.2%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.6%	13.1%	6.8%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.5%	2.1%	0.6%
3	4.4%	5.1%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.8%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.5%

Model fair odds10.58

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap-3.9 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-29.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published31 Jul 2026 · 18:39 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.91View odds

Draw3.25View odds

Away3.40View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.65View odds

Both teams to score — No2.10View odds

Over 2.51.75View odds

Under 2.51.95View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Nigeria Women versus Zambia Women to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy