Polish Ekstraklasa · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Piast Gliwice v Wisla Krakow Correct Score Prediction

Piast Gliwice

1-1

Wisla Krakow

Kick-off: 12:45 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.10BTTSYes 1.67O/UUnder 2.5 1.85FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.0%

Expected goals1.40 – 1.28Piast Gliwice / Wisla Krakow

Most likely scorelines

#11-114.0%

#20-08.6%

#32-18.6%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	7.1%	5.6%	2.4%	0.8%
1	7.9%	14.0%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.7%	8.6%	5.5%	2.3%	0.7%
3	3.1%	4.0%	2.6%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.1%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.0%

Model fair odds7.13

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-15.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published31 Jul 2026 · 18:39 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.40View odds

Draw3.10View odds

Away2.80View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.67View odds

Both teams to score — No2.10View odds

Over 2.51.85View odds

Under 2.51.85View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Piast Gliwice versus Wisla Krakow to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy