Argentinian Primera B Metropolitana · Saturday, 1 August 2026

Sportivo Italiano v Camioneros BA Correct Score Prediction

Sportivo Italiano

1-1

Camioneros BA

Kick-off: 18:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds5.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.62BTTSYes 2.30O/UUnder 2.5 1.35FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.9%

Expected goals0.95 – 1.00Sportivo Italiano / Camioneros BA

Most likely scorelines

#10-015.6%

#21-114.9%

#30-112.8%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.6%	12.8%	7.1%	2.4%	0.6%
1	12.2%	14.9%	6.8%	2.3%	0.6%
2	6.4%	6.4%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
3	2.0%	2.0%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.9%

Model fair odds6.73

Recorded CS odds5.50

Bookmaker implied18.2%

Model-market gap-3.3 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-18.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published31 Jul 2026 · 18:39 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.80View odds

Draw2.62View odds

Away2.62View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.30View odds

Both teams to score — No1.55View odds

Over 2.53.00View odds

Under 2.51.35View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Sportivo Italiano versus Camioneros BA to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy