Prediction summary
Correct score1-5
Correct score odds34.00
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultViking win 1.50↗BTTSYes 1.62↗O/UOver 2.5 1.44↗FT goals6 goals View odds↗Winning marginViking by 4 goals View odds↗
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score1-51.6%
Expected goals1.08 – 2.15Start / Viking
Most likely scorelines
#11-110.0%
#21-29.9%
#30-29.2%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| 2 | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate1.6%
Model fair odds61.04
Recorded CS odds34.00
Bookmaker implied2.9%
Model-market gap-1.3 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-44.3%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-5
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects Start versus Viking to finish 1-5. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 1-5
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy