Argentinian Primera Liga Profesional · Sunday, 2 August 2026

Aldosivi v Gimnasia LP Correct Score Prediction

Aldosivi

1-1

Gimnasia LP

Kick-off: 17:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds5.80

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 2.75BTTSYes 2.25O/UUnder 2.5 1.36FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-114.7%

Expected goals0.94 – 1.05Aldosivi / Gimnasia LP

Most likely scorelines

#10-014.9%

#21-114.7%

#30-113.1%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.9%	13.1%	7.5%	2.6%	0.7%
1	11.7%	14.7%	7.1%	2.5%	0.6%
2	6.1%	6.4%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
3	1.9%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate14.7%

Model fair odds6.81

Recorded CS odds5.80

Bookmaker implied17.2%

Model-market gap-2.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-14.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published1 Aug 2026 · 19:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home3.00View odds

Draw2.75View odds

Away2.50View odds

Both teams to score — Yes2.25View odds

Both teams to score — No1.57View odds

Over 2.52.88View odds

Under 2.51.36View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Aldosivi versus Gimnasia LP to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy