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Czech First League · Sunday, 2 August 2026

Bohemians 1905 v Hradec Kralove Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score2-06.3%
Expected goals1.43 – 1.36Bohemians 1905 / Hradec Kralove

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.1%
#22-18.5%
#31-28.1%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
07.3%7.3%5.7%2.6%0.9%
17.7%13.1%8.1%3.7%1.3%
26.3%8.5%5.8%2.6%0.9%
33.0%4.1%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.1%1.4%1.0%0.4%0.2%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate6.3%
Model fair odds15.93
Recorded CS odds12.00
Bookmaker implied8.3%
Model-market gap-2.1 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-24.7%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published1 Aug 2026 · 19:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-0

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.62View odds
Both teams to score — No2.15View odds
Over 2.51.75View odds
Under 2.51.95View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Bohemians 1905 versus Hradec Kralove to finish 2-0. That scoreline implies No for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-0
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy