William Hill Scottish Premiership · Sunday, 2 August 2026

Hibernian v Motherwell Correct Score Prediction

Hibernian

1-1

Motherwell

Kick-off: 15:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds6.00

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.30BTTSYes 1.62O/UUnder 2.5 1.95FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.4%

Expected goals1.49 – 1.27Hibernian / Motherwell

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.4%

#22-18.9%

#31-08.1%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	6.7%	5.1%	2.2%	0.7%
1	8.1%	13.4%	7.6%	3.2%	1.0%
2	7.0%	8.9%	5.7%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.5%	4.4%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.4%

Model fair odds7.48

Recorded CS odds6.00

Bookmaker implied16.7%

Model-market gap-3.3 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-19.8%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published1 Aug 2026 · 19:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.25View odds

Draw3.30View odds

Away3.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.62View odds

Both teams to score — No2.15View odds

Over 2.51.80View odds

Under 2.51.95View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Hibernian versus Motherwell to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy