Prediction summary
Correct score1-1
Correct score odds7.00
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultDraw 3.90↗BTTSYes 1.62↗O/UUnder 2.5 2.15↗FT goals2 goals View odds↗Winning marginDraw View odds↗
Danish Super League · Sunday, 2 August 2026
Nordsjaelland v Randers Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score1-111.2%
Expected goals1.90 – 1.07Nordsjaelland / Randers
Most likely scorelines
#11-111.2%
#22-19.9%
#32-09.3%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate11.2%
Model fair odds8.96
Recorded CS odds7.00
Bookmaker implied14.3%
Model-market gap-3.1 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-21.8%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects Nordsjaelland versus Randers to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 1-1
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy