Swedish Division 1 · Sunday, 2 August 2026

Trelleborg v Lund BK Correct Score Prediction

Trelleborg

2-1

Lund BK

Kick-off: 14:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultTrelleborg win 1.65BTTSYes 1.62O/UOver 2.5 1.65FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginTrelleborg by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.8%

Expected goals1.82 – 1.08Trelleborg / Lund BK

Most likely scorelines

#11-111.9%

#22-19.8%

#32-09.2%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.6%	4.8%	3.2%	1.1%	0.3%
1	8.9%	11.9%	5.8%	2.1%	0.6%
2	9.2%	9.8%	5.3%	1.9%	0.5%
3	5.6%	6.0%	3.2%	1.2%	0.3%
4	2.5%	2.7%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.8%

Model fair odds10.15

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap-3.5 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-26.1%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published1 Aug 2026 · 19:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.65View odds

Draw3.50View odds

Away4.20View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.62View odds

Both teams to score — No2.10View odds

Over 2.51.65View odds

Under 2.52.05View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Trelleborg versus Lund BK to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy