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Austrian Bundesliga · Sunday, 2 August 2026

Wolfsberger AC v Austria Vienna Correct Score Prediction

Kick-off:

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0
Published score2-18.9%
Expected goals1.48 – 1.26Wolfsberger AC / Austria Vienna

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.1%
#22-18.9%
#31-08.5%
View score probability matrix
Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →01234
07.6%7.1%5.1%2.2%0.7%
18.5%13.1%7.6%3.2%1.0%
27.1%8.9%5.6%2.4%0.7%
33.5%4.4%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.3%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0
Model estimate8.9%
Model fair odds11.24
Recorded CS odds9.00
Bookmaker implied11.1%
Model-market gap-2.2 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-19.9%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published1 Aug 2026 · 19:00 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.67View odds
Both teams to score — No2.10View odds
Over 2.51.80View odds
Under 2.51.91View odds

Why this score?

The model projects Wolfsberger AC versus Austria Vienna to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1
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How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy