Uzbekistan Super League · Monday, 3 August 2026

AGMK Olmaliq v Nasaf Qarshi Correct Score Prediction

AGMK Olmaliq

1-1

Nasaf Qarshi

Kick-off: 15:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score1-1

Correct score odds5.80

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultDraw 3.00BTTSYes 1.62O/UUnder 2.5 1.91FT goals2 goals View oddsWinning marginDraw View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score1-113.9%

Expected goals1.48 – 1.28AGMK Olmaliq / Nasaf Qarshi

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.9%

#22-18.9%

#30-08.2%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	6.2%	5.2%	2.2%	0.7%
1	7.4%	13.9%	7.7%	3.3%	1.1%
2	6.9%	8.9%	5.7%	2.4%	0.8%
3	3.4%	4.4%	2.8%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate13.9%

Model fair odds7.20

Recorded CS odds5.80

Bookmaker implied17.2%

Model-market gap-3.4 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-19.5%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published2 Aug 2026 · 18:40 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.20View odds

Draw3.00View odds

Away2.88View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.62View odds

Both teams to score — No2.15View odds

Over 2.51.75View odds

Under 2.51.91View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects AGMK Olmaliq versus Nasaf Qarshi to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 1-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy