ASEAN Football Championship · Monday, 3 August 2026

Cambodia v East Timor Correct Score Prediction

Cambodia

2-1

East Timor

Kick-off: 10:30 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds7.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultCambodia win 1.35BTTSYes 1.67O/UOver 2.5 1.44FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginCambodia by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-19.7%

Expected goals2.31 – 0.92Cambodia / East Timor

Most likely scorelines

#12-010.5%

#22-19.7%

#31-19.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	2.4%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
1	7.8%	9.7%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
2	10.5%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	8.1%	7.5%	3.4%	1.1%	0.2%
4	4.7%	4.3%	2.0%	0.6%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate9.7%

Model fair odds10.30

Recorded CS odds7.50

Bookmaker implied13.3%

Model-market gap-3.6 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-27.2%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published2 Aug 2026 · 18:40 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home1.35View odds

Draw4.40View odds

Away7.00View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.67View odds

Both teams to score — No2.05View odds

Over 2.51.44View odds

Under 2.52.50View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Cambodia versus East Timor to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy