Prediction summary
Correct score1-1
Correct score odds9.00
ConfidenceMedium
Predicted markets
ResultDraw 4.50↗BTTSYes 1.60↗O/UUnder 2.5 2.62↗FT goals2 goals View odds↗Winning marginDraw View odds↗
Swedish Allsvenskan · Monday, 3 August 2026
Djurgarden v Vasteras Correct Score Prediction
Kick-off:
MODEL ESTIMATE
CSM-1.0Score probability model
Published score1-19.2%
Expected goals2.23 – 1.05Djurgarden / Vasteras
Most likely scorelines
#12-19.8%
#22-09.3%
#31-19.2%
View score probability matrix
| Home goals ↓ / Away goals → | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.
PRICE COMPARISON
CSVI-1.0Model vs market price
Model estimate9.2%
Model fair odds10.83
Recorded CS odds9.00
Bookmaker implied11.1%
Model-market gap-1.9 pp
Price gap vs model fair price-16.9%
This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.
Prediction record
✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 1-1
Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable
Available market odds
Why this score?
The model projects Djurgarden versus Vasteras to finish 1-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Under 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.
→ 1-1
How to interpret this prediction
Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.
Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy