UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification · Tuesday, 4 August 2026

Auda v Dinamo Tirana Correct Score Prediction

Auda

2-1

Dinamo Tirana

Kick-off: 16:00 GMT

Prediction summary

Correct score2-1

Correct score odds8.50

ConfidenceMedium

Predicted markets

ResultAuda win 2.30BTTSYes 1.70O/UOver 2.5 1.95FT goals3 goals View oddsWinning marginAuda by 1 goal View odds

MODEL ESTIMATE

Score probability model

CSM-1.0

Published score2-18.7%

Expected goals1.40 – 1.21Auda / Dinamo Tirana

Most likely scorelines

#11-113.7%

#21-09.1%

#32-18.7%

View score probability matrix

Score probability model
Home goals ↓ / Away goals →	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	7.7%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
1	9.1%	13.7%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.7%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.3%	4.0%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Market-fitted Poisson + Dixon–Coles · Estimated model probabilities are fitted to recorded 1X2 and goal-market prices. They are not yet empirically calibrated probabilities and do not guarantee an outcome.

PRICE COMPARISON

Model vs market price

CSVI-1.0

Model estimate8.7%

Model fair odds11.49

Recorded CS odds8.50

Bookmaker implied11.8%

Model-market gap-3.1 pp

Price gap vs model fair price-26.0%

This is a mathematical comparison between the uncalibrated CSM-1.0 estimate and the recorded price. It is not a calibrated expected-value claim, guarantee or betting recommendation.

Prediction record

Published3 Aug 2026 · 16:05 GMT+0100

✓ Original forecast preserved · Original prediction: 2-1

Legacy / unverifiablePublication timing unavailable

Available market odds

Home2.30View odds

Draw3.20View odds

Away2.90View odds

Both teams to score — Yes1.70View odds

Both teams to score — No2.05View odds

Over 2.51.95View odds

Under 2.51.75View odds

View this match at bookmaker

Why this score?

The model projects Auda versus Dinamo Tirana to finish 2-1. That scoreline implies Yes for BTTS and Over 2.5 for the goals market. Confidence is recorded as Medium; this is a model output, not a guarantee. Before kick-off, check team news, line-ups and the live bookmaker price because circumstances and odds can change.

→ 2-1

How to interpret this prediction

Correct score is a high-variance market. The projected score is a forecast, not a certainty. The companion markets below are derived consistently from the same projected scoreline.

Prediction methodology · Results methodology · Editorial policy